September 21, 2024 | by Unboxify
North Korea’s Moniker: Hermit Kingdom
North Korea has long been described as “The Hermit Kingdom”. Through a combination of crippling international sanctions and its own staunch isolationism, the northern half of the Korean Peninsula has been virtually sealed off from the wider world. However, it’s crucial to realize that isolation doesn’t necessarily translate to weakness. This state’s seclusion hides formidable might. Even a hermit can have claws, as the simile goes.
In the wake of Japan’s defeat in World War II, the Korean Peninsula split in two: the North occupied by Soviet forces and the South by the Americans. This division laid the groundwork for geopolitical tensions and the eventual formation of the Korean People’s Army (KPA), orchestrated in 1948 to provide the Soviet-backed leader of Northern Korea, Kim Il-sung, with a military apparatus to potentially unify Korea under his rule.
In 1950, Kim Il-sung aimed to conquer the entire peninsula, driving his army to Busan before being countered by American-led forces. The timely intervention of China safeguarded the nascent Democratic People’s Republic of Korea from total collapse. Nevertheless, the ceasefire that ended the Korean War only reinstated the status quo, leaving the peninsula divided.
One of the KPA’s primary objectives is securing the stability of the Kim family regime. This mission heavily influences the strict and authoritarian structure of the KPA. Kim Jong-un, the current leader of North Korea, serves as the Supreme Commander, wielding ultimate control over all military decisions.
Mechanisms of Control and Loyalty
The loyalty of the KPA to Kim Jong-un is further ensured by institutions like the General Political Bureau, responsible for extensive political indoctrination, and the Ministry of State Security, a secret police force reporting directly to Kim. Since 2013, Kim Jong-un has executed extensive purges, replacing up to 80% of the KPA’s top commanders to fortify his grip on power.
Mass surveillance extends to North Korean civilians, ensuring minimal internal dissent. While this level of scrutiny is unparalleled, residents elsewhere can take steps to secure their information through services that eliminate personal data from online databases.
The second mission of the KPA focuses on enabling North Korea to dominate the Korean Peninsula. Initially supported significantly by Soviet and Chinese aid, North Korea enjoyed a technological and economic edge over its southern neighbor, which emboldened its military aspirations.
Post-Soviet Decline and Shift in Strategy
The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 marked a turning point, causing economic and military aid to dry up and plunging North Korea into an economic and humanitarian crisis from which it has never fully recovered. With South Korea’s rapid economic ascendancy, the possibility of North Korean dominance through conventional means became increasingly remote.
North Korea’s Economically-Constrained Military
Presently, the KPA has pivoted from envisioning sweeping offensives into the South to focusing on asymmetric warfare, deterrence, and coercion. Despite being one of the world’s poorest nations, North Korea allocates up to 25% of its GDP to defense, nurturing the world’s fourth-largest military force with approximately 1.3 million active personnel.
Among the five branches of the KPA, the Strategic Force stands out as the pivotal element in North Korea’s defense strategy. While the nuclear program dates back to the 1950s, significant growth has occurred since the country’s first successful nuclear test in 2006. Under Kim Jong-un, North Korea’s nuclear arsenal has swelled considerably, with estimates suggesting it holds between 35 to 65 nuclear devices.
Ballistic Capabilities and Threats
North Korea claims that its ballistic missiles could target South Korea, Japan, or even the United States, although definitive evidence is elusive. Possessing nuclear weapons acts as a deterrent and bargaining chip, with Kim Jong-un asserting control over their deployment, a declaration that underscores the severe global consequences of threatening his regime.
The ground force remains the largest branch of the KPA, comprising over a million soldiers, 4,000 tanks, and 21,000 artillery pieces. However, it’s considered ill-equipped for large-scale offensive operations, burdened by outdated Cold War-era equipment and limited logistical capacity.
With 70% of its strength concentrated along the demilitarized zone (DMZ), the ground force is well-prepared to defend North Korean territory. Extensive tunnel networks, bunkers, and minefields make any breakthrough by adversaries exceedingly difficult. Additionally, the Worker-Peasant Red Guard, a paramilitary organization comprising over 5 million members, could bolster the ground force in times of war.
North Korean artillery continues to be a formidable component, with nearly 6,000 systems capable of hitting South Korean population centers. These artillery units can cause staggering casualties, estimated at 100,000 per hour in initial conflict stages, heightening fears of chemical and biological warfare capabilities.
Underestimating the Air Force?
The KPA Air Force, though substantial on paper with 110,000 personnel and 545 combat aircraft, suffers from outdated technology and inadequate training. With fuel shortages and maintenance issues limiting pilots to merely 15 hours of training annually, the Air Force might not last in a modern conflict. Nevertheless, it operates the world’s densest anti-air weapon concentrations, posing challenges to enemy air superiority.
The KPA Navy, the smallest military branch, emphasizes deterrence over conventional capabilities. With only two frigates from the 1970s, North Korea’s conventional naval power is minimal. However, over 370 small attack craft and 70 diesel-electric submarines pose significant threats, especially to supply lines during amphibious assaults.
The Elite Special Operations Force
The Special Operations Force is North Korea’s crown jewel, comprising up to 200,000 elite soldiers. Provided with comparatively superior equipment and rigorous training, these units conduct independent operations behind enemy lines, aiming to disrupt adversaries and gather intelligence.
North Korean cyber capabilities complement its conventional and unconventional military strength. These operations provide the regime a covert means to spy on and intimidate adversaries. Notably, the 2014 Sony Pictures hack was tied to North Korean cyber agents, highlighting the country’s ability to conduct impactful cyber attacks globally.
Payment Through Stealth
In addition to espionage, North Korean cyber units engage in financial theft from global institutions, effectively funding the regime’s activities. This dual function showcases the versatility and menace of North Korea’s cyber warfare strategy.
Emphasis on Nuclear Arsenal
Looking ahead, North Korea will likely continue to prioritize its nuclear arsenal as the linchpin of its military strategy. The nation’s possession of nuclear weapons, enshrined in its constitution, indicates no intent to denuclearize. Instead, North Korea is poised to expand its nuclear capabilities, posing an ever-growing threat to regional and global stability.
Continued Use of Unconventional Methods
North Korea is also expected to persist with unconventional tactics aimed at undermining its enemies. Whether through cyber warfare, the transfer of military resources to conflict zones like Ukraine, or guerrilla tactics, the KPA will leverage any assets that can provide strategic advantages in asymmetric warfare.
Economic Constraints and Arsenal Modernization
While nuclear advancements are anticipated, the same cannot be said for the rest of North Korea’s military apparatus. Economic constraints and acute shortages hinder significant modernization within the KPA. Therefore, expect North Korea to retain much of its outdated equipment, as evidenced by the still operational T-34 tanks.
The Conundrum of Global Peace
The Korean People’s Army remains a formidable entity forged in the Korean War’s crucible. While offensive operations into South Korea appear implausible due to logistical and equipment limitations, KPA artillery and missiles retain the capacity to devastate South Korean population centers instantaneously. Moreover, the relentless acquisition of nuclear materials means the region teeters on the brink, with peace perpetually at risk of being engulfed in flames.
The story of North Korea’s Korean People’s Army is one of resilience and adaptation. Despite crippling sanctions and resource constraints, the regime has maintained a complex and formidable military apparatus. While their conventional warfare capabilities may have diminished, the focus on nuclear deterrence, cyber warfare, and guerrilla tactics ensures the KPA remains a potent force capable of significant damage.
As the political landscape continues to evolve, understanding the KPA’s strengths and limitations is crucial for anticipating the actions of one of the world’s most secretive and unpredictable regimes.
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